Spider Solitaire Addiction

Addiction: Merriam-Webster defines it as “Compulsive need for and use of a habit-forming substance (as heroin, nicotine, or alcohol) characterized by tolerance and by well-defined physiological symptoms upon withdrawal; broadly: persistent compulsive use of a substance known by the user to be harmful”.

That’s right. People are addicted to cigarettes, drugs and alcohol. That’s why there are so many ways offered to wean yourself from these additions. People are addicted to other things too such as food (chocolate ranks up high in food addictions), and gambling. There are all these programs available to help people get weaned from these addictions — alcoholics anonymous, overeaters anonymous, gamblers anonymous…

A newer addiction is the addiction to the computer. People can spend hours surfing the web, or playing the latest computer games.

But the biggest addiction seems to be to Spider Solitaire. It’s so readily available. It comes for free with every Window’s installation. It takes just a few minutes to learn. You start with just one suite. Quickly move up to two suites. And then begins the challenge… Four Suites! That’s when the addiction comes. The game allows you to backtrack as many moves as you want — even all the way to the beginning of the game. You can spend hours just retrying the same game but when that game ends, whether win or lose, you’ll quickly press “new game” and start all over.

I have done a little research onto how the game has affected people’s lives. Answers I have received:

  • I stayed up all night playing
  • I didn’t take the dog for his walk (what a mess!)ï’· Supper burned (lucky for the smoke alarm)
  • Forgot to pick up my kids from school
  • Spent a full day at work just playing
  • Missed a full day of work
  • _______________________ Write in your own — no one’s immune.

The Solution

Everybody’s gone through it. There are no simple solutions. No special gum. No patches. No clinics. No support groups (who could pull themselves away from Spider to get to a group meeting). There’s only one solution. Delete the game from your computer. The one at work too. Do a good search to make sure you’ve deleted any instance of it. Then just pick up a new computer addiction (try Facebook). No other computer addiction is as bad as Spider Solitaire.

Pick 4 Lottery Strategy System Picks the Right Pick 4 Strategies to Win

A good Pick 4 Lottery System has more than just one Strategy; it has a number of Pick 4 Strategies to offer the lottery players multiple ways to find the next winning number.

These multiple Pick 4 Strategies open the door for the players to take advantage of various number trends that can take place at any given time during this lottery game.

In March 2010 there seems to be an overabundance of Pick 4 Triples and Double-Doubles based on the low percentage for these types of Pick 4 numbers to be drawn over a period of time. These two groups of numbers represent just 6.3% of all 10,000 Pick 4 numbers. Their collective combinations total 135 of 715 combinations for all Pick 4 numbers. There were approximately 125 of these types of numbers drawn in the U.S. and Canadian Pick 4 Lotteries in March 2010.

Another Pick 4 lottery anomaly is the current amount — over twenty — of traveling numbers that began in March 2010 and is carrying over into April 2010. A traveling number is the same set of four digits that make up a winning Pick 4 number that is drawn two or more times over a short period of time in more than one State. The perfect definition of a traveling number includes that the same number being redrawn in the exact order. But the traveling Pick 4 Box form is quite acceptable for the purposes of winning free money.

Triples and double-doubles are the highest paying Pick 4 Box numbers. Triple numbers, such as 1112, pay $1200 for one single $1 investment. The dollar investment on the double-double number, such as 1122, returns $800.

The key to being a successful winning Pick 4 player is to have a multiple Lottery Strategy System. It provides the right Pick 4 Strategies which enable Pick 4 players to have strategies to create and play these ongoing number trends as they occur.

Combining strategies for playing triples and double-doubles with the traveling number strategy gives the player the right Pick 4 strategies to win some very nice payoffs. A perfect example of the double-double traveling number occurred with the combination draws of 8877 first in the Delaware Pick 4 Midday draw, March 22, 2010, and the April 4, 2010, Evening draw in the Kentucky Pick 4 Lottery. Players of this lottery game using both these strategies have put the 8877 on the watch list. The New York Win 4 lead the way with the evening drawing on March 30, 2010, of 0660 and followed up with this same number being drawn in the evening draw in the West Virginia Pick 4 Lottery.

The Indiana Hoosier Lottery Daily 4 began this imperfect trip, but nevertheless a profitable one for the New York Win 4 players when the third box form of 5757 was drawn in the midday draw on March 31, 2010. The Indiana Daily 4 first drew 7755 on March 18, 2010, midday draw. Traveling east to the Ohio Pick 4 Lottery, the OH Pick 4 drew 7557 in the evening draw on March 22, 2010.

The Big Apple State continued to provide big winning slices of cash for their Big Apple Win 4 players when it drew the third box form of the triple 7111 on the evening of April 4, 2010.

Previously, again starting out in the Indiana Daily 4 on the evening of March 16, 2010, the first triple box form was drawn as 1171. Then, traveling southeast to the Georgia Cash 4 was 1711 which was drawn in the evening draw on March 30, 2010. Like the New Year’s Eve Times Square countdown it gave New Yorkers one more thing to celebrate, another pocketful of NY Win 4 Lottery Free Money.

In a rare return home Pick 4 traveling number, trend players keeping an eye open for these two strategies to converge once again, Oregonians in the Oregon Pick 4 Lottery were glad to welcome back the 0400 on March 18, 2010, in the 7pm drawing. It was first drawn here in the 1pm Pick 4 drawing on March 8, 2010. It then traveled to Florida and was drawn in the Florida Play 4 as 4000 on the evening of March 16, 2010 before boarding the flight home to the Oregon Pick 4.

To be a Pick 4 Winner you need a Pick 4 Lottery Strategy System with multiple Pick 4 strategies. It is the only way that Pick 4 players around the country and around the world have a real chance to win some big money. Systems that offer just one strategy to play or recommended to play just the single Pick 4 type numbers do not give you the same chance to win. Often times the reality is that the one strategy or the recommended “Pick 4 Single Number Pick 4 Systems” create “automatic losers” for both the numbers and the players.

All Pick 4 players need to keep their eyes open for these traveling numbers in all forms, 0660, 7755, 1711, and 0400, that could travel to the remaining Pick 4 U.S. Lotteries, the Caribbean Pick 4 Lottery, Ontario Pick 4 and La Quotidienne 4, the two Canadian Lottery Pick 4 Games. One or more of the other strategies in the Pick 4 System may just predict the arrival of one of these traveling numbers to your local favorite Daily 4 Lottery game.

Insurable and Non-Insurable Risks

When we talk of insurance, we are referring to risks in all forms. Hence, having for an insurance policy is just a way of sharing our risks with other people with similar risks.

However, while some risks can be insured (i.e. insurable risks), some cannot be insured according to their nature (i.e. non-insurable risks).

Insurable Risks

Insurable risks are the type of risks in which the insurer makes provision for or insures against because it is possible to collect, calculate and estimate the likely future losses. Insurable risks have previous statistics which are used as a basis for estimating the premium. It holds out the prospect of loss but not gain. The risks can be forecast and measured e.g. motor insurance, marine insurance, life insurance etc.

This type of risk is the one in which the chance of occurrence can be deduced, from the available information on the frequency of similar past occurrence. Examples of what an insurable risk is as explained:

Example1: The probability (or chance) that a certain vehicle will be involved in an accident in year 2011 (out of the total vehicle insured that year 2011) can be determined from the number of vehicles that were involved in accidents in each of some previous years (out of the total vehicle insured those years).

Example2: The probability (or chance) that a man (or woman) of a certain age will die in the ensuring year can be estimated by the fraction of people of that age that died in each of some previous years.

Non-insurable Risks

Non-insurable risks are type of risks which the insurer is not ready to insure against simply because the likely future losses cannot be estimated and calculated. It holds the prospect of gain as well as loss. The risk cannot be forecast and measured.

Example1: The chance that the demand for a commodity will fall next year due to a change in consumers’ taste will be difficult to estimate as previous statistics needed for it may not be available.

Example 2: The chance that a present production technique will become obsolete or out-of-date by next year as a result of technological advancement.

Other examples of non-insurable risks are:

1. Acts of God: All risks involving natural disasters referred to as acts of God such as

a. Earthquake

b. War

c. Flood

It should be noted that any building, property or life insured but lost during an occurrence of any act of God (listed above) cannot be compensated by an insurer. Also, this non-insurability is being extended to those in connection with radioactive contamination.

2. Gambling: You cannot insure your chances of losing a gambling game.

3. Loss of profit through competition: You cannot insure your chances of winning or losing in a competition.

4. Launching of new product: A manufacturer launching a new product cannot insure the chances of acceptability of the new product since it has not been market-tested.

5. Loss incurred as a result of bad/inefficient management: The ability to successfully manage an organization depends on many factors and the profit/loss depends on the judicious utilization of these factors, one of which is efficient management capability. The expected loss in an organization as a result of inefficiency cannot be insured.

6. Poor location of a business: A person situating a business in a poor location must know that the probability of its success is slim. Insuring such business is a sure way of duping an insurer.

7. Loss of profit as a result of fall in demand: The demand for any product varies with time and other factors. An insurer will never insure based on expected loss due to decrease in demand.

8. Speculation: This is the engagement in a venture offering the chance of considerable gain but the possibility of loss. A typical example is the action or practice of investing in stocks, property, etc., in the hope of profit from a rise or fall in market value but with the possibility of a loss. This cannot be insured because it is considered as a non-insurable risk.

9. Opening of a new shop/office: The opening of a new shop is considered a non-insurable risk. You don’t know what to expect in the operation of the new shop; it is illogical for an insurer to accept in insuring a new shop for you.

10. Change in fashion: Fashion is a trend which cannot be predicted. Any expected change in fashion cannot be insured. A fashion house cannot be insured because the components of the fashion house may become outdated at any point in time.

11. Motoring offenses: You cannot obtain an insurance policy against expected fines for offenses committed while on wheels.

However, it should be noted that there is no clear distinction between insurable and non-insurable risks. Theoretically, an insurance company should be ready to insure anything if a sufficiently high premium would be paid. Nevertheless, the distinction is useful for practical purposes.

Disadvantages of Watching Pornography

In the olden days, the word ‘addiction’ was largely confined to either dependence on substance (addiction to drugs) or behavioral addiction (gambling). Addiction can be defined as the repetition of a habit which an individual does with his/her complete knowledge. In other words, they clearly know and understand that they have to leave the particular habit of either ingesting a substance or performing a specific action, but cannot refrain from doing the same. The habit may prove harmful in the long run as it might lead to compulsive use.

Pornography can be found in various forms such as books, postcards, photographs, drawing, animation, film, video (video games). Before two decades, if an individual has to watch porn, he has to rent out a video. Although growth of internet has brought many advantages, there are also few exceptions like porn, which any one can access by a single click.

As with all addictions, individuals of all ages share this vice of pornography, they usually start with soft porn. Similar to drugs, they will also need larger doses to make them feel high. They will start searching for more explicit porn content. Although no survey has been done to clarify the factor from small to high dosage, it cannot be ruled out that watching porn leads to negative effects in many cases such as:

Addicts feel isolate, spend large amount of time locked in their rooms or own world. Watching pornography individually separates them from social contact dissolving into a fantasy world far from reality. Pornographic addicted individuals may indulge in imagination with multiple partners by watching porn thus causing disillusionment in family lives.

Men, who are addicted, try to become dominant, introvert, deal with anxiety, and develop low self esteem. Porn makes the real universe and world boring leaving its viewers dissatisfied and less sensitive to the emotional feelings of everyday life. According to a survey, men exposed to large volume of pornography tend to be less responsible in their career and suffer from reasoning ability.

Men who view pornography in a very young age have been found to view women only as objects of desire than to have respect for them as human beings. They can also suffer from guilt, shame, failure of rejection or humiliation.

The best way to overcome the addiction is to become socially active. Isolation and loneliness are said to be the main contributing factors. Addicts who have been given proper professional guidance and assistance have overcome and conquered their habit of watching porn.

Learn How to Play Roulette Smartly

The first category of roulette wagers are called “outside bets”. These are placed around the perimeter of the betting board. A player can bet the number will be red or black. They can also bet on whether it be odd or even. One can also wager if the number will fall between 1-18 or whether it be 19-36. All three of these bets pay even money.

Other outside bets are called “dozen bets”. These are either betting an entire vertical column of 12 numbers or betting on ranges of the first twelve, second twelve or third twelve chunks of the board. These dozen bets pay off 2:1 if the number which comes in is within the 12 you selected.

Other bets are called “inside bets”. These involve either betting on a number directly, or a combination of them. Most casinos pay 35:1 if you pick the exact number where the ball lands. That means a $10 bet brings back a whopping $350. However, it is obviously tough to pick the single right number out of all 35.

Decided which bets to make can be perplexing. Some players slog it out on their own with results being mediocre at best. Recently, technology has begun to be applied devising sophisticated systems which analyze trends and forecast future likely results. These roulette algorithms present a powerful tool to a player seeking to erase the built in house advantage.

Each different type bet can have its place in a well defined strategy. Sometimes it might be an outside bet. Other times, maybe a bet on one of the elusive green spaces is in order. Or, often there is a combination of varied bets aimed at yielding highest expectation from that next spin of the roulette wheel. Figuring out which is applicable at a given time is a task better suited to a computer than a player’s guesses.

After they learn how to play roulette, many players make the mistake of losing their initial bankroll by attempting to guess where that ball will land. It takes some players years of hard lessons to finally come to the conclusion that beating roulette requires a more sophisticated approach than just betting your sweetheart’s birthday number. When good software emerges the smart players snap it up before the casinos ensure it disappears from the market.

Can Pick 3 Numbers and Pick 4 Numbers Help Find Winners For Each Other?

Every Pick 3 and Pick 4 Number is drawn independently of each other based on the defined mathematical rule of random drawings. Within each lottery each drawing is independent and separate from each other. The drawn winning numbers are not related according to the mathematical laws of numbers. So why do I ask this question?

Every Pick 3 and Pick 4 player struggles to discover systems and methods to find and play the next winning number. Some people, like myself, believe that lottery numbers are related. In studying lottery numbers for two decades I have come to understand how some Pick 3 lottery numbers are connected to each other. Similarly I have seen the same things within the Pick 4 Lottery as well.

Like learning a new language, one has to begin to think in images and words of that second language. As a lottery player one needs to understand the behavior and habits of the numbers or digits — when referring to the individual three or four numbers that make up the winning Pick 3 or Pick 4 number.

I write about “reading the numbers” to understand how they are connected to each other. Discover strategies that formulate these connections within each lottery system.

In addition to the mathematical laws of random selection of numbers and digits, lottery player also point out that the different types of drawing systems – traditional ball drawings and computerized drawings further add to the idea of the separateness of the numbers. It’s these thought processes which make it hard for a lottery player to pick the winning numbers from drawing to drawing and help the State Lotteries continue to make money year after year.

To add more confusion to the mix I ask this question — ‘Can Pick 3 and Pick 4 numbers help find winners for each other?’ With all the reasons supporting the ideas for the non-related separateness of numbers the question is ludicrous or just plain stupid.

As one who tracks both the Pick 3 and Pick 4 Lotteries I came across the following Pick 3 and Pick 4 results in New Jersey on the evening of October 28, 2010. The Pick 3 and Pick 4 results were 206 and 1260. Being a person who is constantly studying the connections of numbers, these results jumped out at me. The reality of these drawings is that they are useless, because they were drawn in the same drawing time.

But what if one of them preceded the other, would a lottery player be able to benefit from such a situation? This is what I discovered in an attempt to answer the question.

In the Missouri Lottery on November 1 – 2, 2010, 041 and 1004 were drawn and on November 3 – 4, 2010, 958 and 859 were drawn. In the PA Lottery from Midday to Evening 443 and 3744 were drawn on November 2nd. In the Kentucky Pick 3 and Pick 4 the results were 11.2.2010 Midday 907, 11.3.2010 Midday 1409, and Evening 409 & 0579. In Michigan Daily lotteries on 11.2.2010 and 11.3.2010, respectively, 205 and 3052 were the winning numbers. During these same days North Carolina Lottery produced 451 on November 2nd and 4415 on the 3rd.

And, it continues. Arkansas Pick 3 & 4 Lotteries on November 4th and 5th produced 546 and 6745. In the NY Win 4 and Numbers on 11.5.2010 and 11.6.2010 the winning numbers were 0453 and 503. In the Ohio Pick 3 and 4 Lotteries the following November dates and draws included 11.3 – 1875, 11.5 – 158, 11.7 – 175, 11.8 – 5718, 11.9 – 982 and 11.10 – 8296. In California Daily Lotteries the results were: 11.6 – 9928, 11.9 – 8992, and 11.10 – 998.

In the Canadian Lotteries, Ontario’s Pick 3 and Pick 4 respectively, drew 0967 on 11.4, 679 on 11.5, 733 on 11.9, and 7733 on 11.10. Quebec’s La Quotidienne 3 & 4 Lotteries produced the following winners: 6281 on 11.3, 182 on 11.5, 8417 on 11.4 and 718 on 11.6.2010.

By developing a Keen Eye for numbers and learning how to read numbers and connect them systematically you become a winner in the Pick 3 and Pick 4 lotteries despite what the mathematical laws of numbers in random selection process state. These are very good results in a short time for non-related and independently separate and unconnected drawn numbers and lotteries that work together to produce winning numbers.

How to Win Lotto – The Most Effective Way to Pick Your Winning Numbers

When you consider the potential multi-million dollar fortunes on offer, picking your lotto numbers can seem like a complicated and stressful affair. Nothing could be more rewarding than cashing in a one- or two-dollar lottery ticket for a million-dollar jackpot.

You only have to scan the daily tabloids or internet search engine listings to know that everyone and their dog possesses some unique method of busting the odds or predicting the winning numbers of any lottery in the world.

In spite of the enormous odds, and regardless of the type of prize you are seeking to win, you can always depend on three universal principles* or ‘laws’ every time you play lotto – anywhere, anytime. The most important of the three ‘laws’ is this…

Lottery Numbers Are Totally Random

Lotto is a game of chance based on a random selection of numbers. It is not possible to consistently and reliably predict a random event. Full stop. End of story. Grasp this concept, and you are well on your way to lotto success.

Consequently, do not concern yourself with coupon patterns, ‘hot’ numbers, frequency statistics or other implausible good luck charms. Although interesting, these ‘systems’ have absolutely no bearing on your ability to predict the winning numbers, nor your chances of winning a prize. A random selection of numbers can not, by definition, form a pattern.

I am yet to see any computer system or software package that can reliably and consistently predict the winning numbers of any lottery in the world. It just can’t be done, nor will it ever be possible. To this end, any product that claims to analyze patterns in actual lottery results or help you predict the winning numbers of your favorite lottery is a scam. If you just heard yourself say “No they’re not,” don’t bother reading on – you’re fooling yourself, and I don’t want to waste your time any further.

By all means, go ahead and have fun using these products to choose your weekly numbers. Just never bet your house on them.

So, what IS the most effective way to pick your winning numbers?

The answer is simple. Anyway you choose.

Your choice of selections has absolutely no bearing on the numbers which will be drawn this week, or any week for that matter. To suggest otherwise is to appear gullible and stupid.

If you want to know, I always choose my numbers randomly (it’s a function of the winlottosystems wheeling software I use) because it’s easy, and I don’t have to think.

Never Change Your Numbers?

This advice is dispensed about as frequently as a new system for picking this week’s lucky numbers is announced.

But seriously, should you change your numbers, or stick with the same numbers all the time (in case they are drawn)? It’s a good question, and one that vexes more lotto players than they care to admit.

Every successful lotto player I know has two very strong points to make in this regard:

– Lottery numbers are random, so it doesn’t matter if you change your numbers or not; and

– If you are inclined to remember numbers, you are encouraged to change your numbers often (so as to avoid the anguish of seeing a set of numbers you used to play come up this week).

For the record, the most successful lotto players I know change their numbers every 5 to 10 weeks, or so. Why? Just because they like to.

Now, For Some Fun

Below is a list of techniques and strategies that I know some of my most eccentric customers have used over the years to select their weekly ‘lucky’ numbers. They are fun, unique and often crazy, but there’s one thing I can’t say about them – they are no more effective at predicting the winning numbers than me chewing bubble gum to solve algebra!

– An elderly gentleman would hide a large number of tennis balls in his backyard, and then call on his faithful dog to fetch them, one at a time as he marked his coupon.

– A woman I once knew would place a piece of paper (with the numbers of her favourite lottery written all over it) on the bottom tray of her pet budgie’s cage and choose those numbers which were “hit” by the bird’s droppings!

– Many people use a familiar bingo ball or similar ‘barrel’ to pick their numbers.

– Some resort to throwing darts at a dart board with the numbers of their favourite lottery marked on a piece of paper attached to the front.

– A neighbour would often swing at a series of numbers golf balls, and those resting closest to the ‘pin’ would be this week’s lucky numbers!

I imagine for many people, this article may have challenged you to reconsider the efficacy of the latest lottery number picking system you recently devised or invested in. If so, my advice is, ask for your money back, and stick to something more FUN and certainly RANDOM!

To learn more about how to win lotto prizes (almost) every week, go to http://www.winlottofrequently.com

© Mark Collard, WinLottoFrequently. All rights reserved.

* For the record, the two other immutable and universal laws of lotto are:

(a) Every single lottery game / ticket you play can win a prize, including the jackpot; and

(b) The more games / tickets you play, the more chances you have to win.

5 Best Paying Video Slot Machines When You Only Have $20

Over 90% of slot players are what I call the non-high limit crowd. Typically, it’s defined as a group of players that take anywhere from $50-$100 to a night out at the casino. It’s not a whole lot of money to work with, considering a couple factors such as higher line bets on some machines and a huge selection of different machines. With this in mind, it’s easy to see how fun most machines look, and therefore want the chance to play as many of them as possible. Whether an avid slot player is playing just for fun, or the prospect of making a nice healthy return, it’s a good idea to know some of the most liberal paying slot machines so you can double, triple or more, the money that you do have. After spending many quality hours interviewing players and watching others play some video slot machines, here is what they say are the most frequent paying games.

5.Carnival Of Mystery (IGT)-A perennial classic and still a hugely popular game, Carnival of Mystery offers plenty to slot players. Wildly frequent hitting bonus games with multipliers and a multi-way paying reel format make this one of the top tier high payback machines. The minimum bet is only 25 for max lines, but I would personally ramp this up to 50 or even 75 credits per spin to maximize the win factor. Not only will you enjoy the flavorful graphics and icons, but you’ll be surprised at the huge wins you’ll receive!

4.Sun & Moon (Aristocrat)-Popular for a couple reasons. One, you win just about every other spin! And second, the bonus is extremely easy to attain. Win the bonus by getting two or more scatter sun and moon wild symbols from left to right and you initiate the spins feature. Even with such a low bet, like 20 or 40 credits, I’ve seen hundreds of dollars won effortlessly and frequently! And best of all, you can win up to 50 free spins! Probably the most free spins available on any machine!

3.Sirens or Cave King (IGT)-Both games are very much the same, just a different type of genre of character. Both games feature a huge paying stacked symbol layout with gorgeous graphics and liberal pays like none other. The best part about these machines is the bonus. Initiate it with only three or more scattered bonus symbols and you’ll be ready to play the free spins feature. In the free spins, there’s a lot going on. You can get paid on line wins from left to right and right to left, so there’s a lot to be looking forward to even if you don’t hit anything matching on the first couple reels. Secondly, if you spell out bonus, you have the opportunity to play a secondary game where you can win huge jackpots. Up to a thousand dollars in some cases!!

2.50 Lions (Aristocrat)-Not much to be said here about this classic video slot. One of the hugely successful releases by this company, 50 Lions gets you excited from the start. The initial game play is easy to understand and it pays very frequently. Most of the time you get paid your bet back and then some. The bonus is huge with the stacked wild and lion symbols that pays huge money just about all the time. If you only have $20, I highly recommend giving this one a try when you first get to the casino.

1.Coyote Moon (IGT)-IGT had a runaway success with this machine and most others like it. Adding just an extra row and implementing stacked wilds on a machine for the first time made this a scorching release. Bet only 40 or 80 and you will certainly make 5-10 times your money in minutes, it’s that good! Players only get five bonus spins when triggered, but it pays huge and the bonus retriggers very frequently. Making this the ultimate game to play if you are trying to win lots of money on just your $20.

And that rounds out the list of favorites that players say makes them the most money with minimal bets. Additionally, the great news is that you don’t have to bet a lot to win a lot, in most instances, only 25-50 cents a shot will do just fine! So the next time you’re in the casino, check out these popular games and make them your first choice!

Sports Betting 101- How to Bet on NBA Basketball

Basketball can be one of the tougher sports to handicap for novices, most believe that teams will perform the same (good or bad) in each outing because there are no weather concerns like those that exist in football, while it is indeed true that each basketball contest takes place indoors, most fail to realize how hard it is to play a sting of back to back to back games and especially if travel is involved, in this article we will look at the various factors that must be considered when handicapping NBA hoops.

Certain principles hold true no matter what sport you are handicapping, for example, injuries play a key role in any sporting event but plays a much bigger role in the NBA because they only have five starters on the hardwood versus 22 total starters on an NFL team and also have much less depth on their overall roster, this means that you really need to know the injury situation and who the backup player is before making a wager on an NBA game.

Another consideration is where the game will be played, home court is a much larger factor in the NBA than in the NFL, this comes into play when the home team is listed as the doggie and the visiting team has injuries or is in the midst of a three game or more road trip, keep in mind that road weary teams have tired legs and tired legs lose games in the final minutes.

The NBA is similar to the NFL in that fans also double as gamblers, this means that certain teams have a public following that will place wagers on them no matter what the posted point spread is, usually this can be exploited when this public team is playing at home and laying a bushel full of points to a divisional rival.

Always remember to “Line shop” for the best possible number on your team of choice in order to better enhance your chances of a winning wager, also, beware of laying the hook with road favorites and especially when key numbers are involved, a key number in the NBA is defined as any number which is a multiple of two, the reason why of course is because a basket is worth two points.

Never forget that a winning gambler is a hard working gambler, its best to stay one step ahead of the betting public by being more prepared than they are, this means that you need to know about bad scheduling situations, team chemistry problems, and injury concerns before the public, the information is readily available to everyone but its really an issue of who will go the extra mile by doing the research.

Testing Your Baccarat and Craps System

Any Baccarat or Craps System must consist of two parts: a bet selection method and a money management system.

Bet selection is defined as the process of selecting the winning decision (player or banker) in baccarat or (pass or don’t pass) in craps. There are many methods favored by seasoned players. Some like to follow the shoe in baccarat or the roll in craps. By this we mean, the player bets the same as the preceding decision. Another favorite method of picking which side to bet on is the decision before last. Pattern recognition entriques many players as they search for compelling patterns. Streak play has sponded many systems in the baccarat game.

Baccarat seems to hold out the most hope to the mathematically inclined. Since the game is played out of a shoe that is generally not reshuffled until a baccarat game has been concluded. The math types declare there is dependency in the baccarat game. Dependency means as the first half of the baccarat shoe is played it necessary determines the composition of the second half of the baccarat shoe. Therefore, we should be able to develop some edge over the house in the second part of the shoe since we already know which cards have been played in the first half of the shoe (of course we would have to keep track somehow to know this). Card counting pioneered and used successfully in blackjack was attempted in baccarat. The result was slightly positive but very disappointing as the player advantage was very very slight. My advise on baccarat card counting; don’t waste your time, it won’t work.

Other methods of extracting the “dependency” from the baccarat game have been explored.

Dr. S.H. Johnson performed extensive computer research using large volumes of live baccarat data. He studied thousands of reoccuring patterns in relation to the dominence of the shoe (banker or player) at the time the pattern occurred. He was able to extract an advantage only slightly less than created by card counting in blackjack. Dr. Johnson reports the practical limitation of this baccarat strategy is the very infrequent occurrence of betting opportunies. This strained the casino’s patience when he set out two thirds of a shoe before placing his advantaged play. The play required very large bets and a large bankroll to generate a modest profit. The good doctor concluded the strategy was more of a moral victory that a practical solution to taking the advantage in the baccarat game.

Some players take a unique approach based on the continuity of numbers in a negative expectation game like the baccarat game or craps game. The continuity of numbers concept behind this approach proves out every time we analyze the data on the main frame computer. This is not to say the concept will give you the infallible gambling system. Here is the basic idea. Let’s say we went to the casino with a group of researchers and we recorded every roll of the dice at the craps table 24 hours per day 7 days a week for 6 months. That would amount to thousands of rolls of the dice. Just for discussion, let’s say 6 months of continuous recording represents 650,000 rolls or decisions. Now, let’s say a individual researcher lives to be 102 years old and for 80 years of his life he went to the casino every day of his life. Each day he recorded 10 minutes of craps rolls at the craps table (not even at the same table everyday!). Let’s say for our little discussion, that the 80 years of 10 minutes a day produced the amount of decisions, the same 650,000 as the group of 24/7 researchers did in 6 months.

Let us take both sets of data and enter into our computer. The computer will analyse the data against the mathematical model of the game. We’ll analyze the pattern distribution, the occurrence of numbers and all of the percentages. We’ll calculate the casino’s advantage over the player (i.e. – pass line 1.42%, don’t pass 1.40%, etc.). The computer churns for a few minutes and spits out the two reports; Report 1- the “24/7 for 6 months data” and Report 2- the “10 minute per day for 80 years data”. What do you think the differnce will be? NOTHING!! That’s right, the stats and numbers will be the same.

Well, what can we learn from this? As players we play only one big craps game and one big baccarat game (if those are your games) in our life. You form a continuity of numbers that over the lifetime of your play will always attempt to conform to the morphology of the game or the mathematical distribution. At any given time various aspects (patterns and numbers) will be on a deviation from their normal mathematical distribution in the game. For example, let us say in our lifetime game we have played 1,000,000 hands of baccarat. We know because we recorded everyone of those suckers on scorecards and entered them into our computer after every play session. [the pros call this procedure “cataloging their game”]

Every night after entering his data, the player cranks up his trusty computer analysis program. A report is derived; he finds out for example, that patterns of seven bank decisions in row are 6 standard deviations behind in occurrence in “his game”. The pro player has a coveted strategy for playing the deviations in his game. He knows the deviation IS going to come back to equipartition eventually. IT ALWAYS DOES, eventually! Don’t run to the casino yet. The big question is how long absent will the pattern remain before starting to come back into the normal distribution model of the game?

NO, I am not going to give you the answer. Something to think about, huh? It’s interesting, the player does not consider a game to be one shoe of baccarat or two hours of craps play but the entire continuity of all the decisions he has played. FACT: This is HIS game; the only game he can ever play. One could say, this shots the heck out of the idea we often hear… “my system may not win over the long haul but I am only going to play a couple hours a day so that doesn’t matter”. In these negative expectation casino games you cannot escape the continuity of numbers over an ever increasing exposure to the game. Billion dollar casinos are built every year on the impregnable morphology of these negative expectation games (reserving the dependency argument in baccarat and that strategy you may develop!)

We suggest that you initiate your baccarat or craps system design and testing with a concentration on your bet selection methodology. By that I mean, as you test your strategy, use a flat bet or neutral money management. A flat bet means the bet is the same amount on every hand of baccarat or on every roll of the dice. You cannot beat a negative expectation game with money management. Over the long haul your bet selection must produce more winning hands or rolls than losers. When the player accomplishes this, we say he has a positive expectation or a player advantage over the casino. When the player has the advantage almost any type of money management will work. However, let’s repeat this again, if there is no player advantage on the bet selection, No money management system, no matter how clever it is will turn a negative expectation into a positive expectation.

Can we still play even though we don’t have a positive advantage? YES! It’s called gambling. When you have a player advantage it really isn’t gambling is it? Most recreational players play without a player advantage. The system you play and how you manage your money are critical if you are to realize some nice winning sessions and not lose all your money every time you go to the casino. Actually you could be a lifetime winner without a player advantage if you went to the casino table, got on an incredible streak of luck (it does happen) pressed (progressed) your bets to the max. When you’re $35K ahead you quit and never gamble again! Congratulations you just kicked the casino’s butt! This is not going happen with most of us. We will be back! We better develop a system that is either advantaged or close to it and have a money manage system that limits our exposure to only a small percentage of our bankroll.

Most professional gambler’s use a percentage money management system. These systems are based on extreme discipline and constant monitoring of one’s bankroll. Only a predetermined percentage of the every changing bankroll is bet. Learn the game your play, learn the system you play and then learn discipline, then learn discipline, then learn discipline ..yeah it’s that important. If you can’t learn to control your emotions you will self destruct at the gambling table. If you can’t control your impulses and emotion, don’t waste your time with gambling. You’re embarking on a great challenge. Like anything else worth doing, you must pay your dues. Then and only then can you become one of the few real winners! Enjoy!